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HomeMy WebLinkAbout4297RESOLUTION NO. 4297 A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY OF AUBURN, WASHINGTON, ACKNOWLEDGING AND ACCEPTING THE 2007 PIERCE COUNTY BUILDABLE LANDS REPORT WHEREAS, on July 1, 1990, the Growth Management Act (the GMA) became effective (Chapter 36.70A Revised Code of Washington); and WHEREAS, the GMA requires Pierce County, in consultation with its cities and towns, to designate an urban growth area which includes areas and densities sufficient to permit urban growth that is projected to occur within the twenty-year planning period; and WHEREAS, RCW 36.70A.215 was amended in 1997 to require Pierce County, in consultation with its cities and towns, to establish a review and evaluation program (Buildable Lands) that results in the submittal of a report (the Buildable Lands Report) to the State every five years, with the first report due on September 1, 2002; and WHEREAS, the Central Puget Sound Growth Management Hearings Board (the Board) is one of the three administrative appeal boards created by the GMA (RCW 36.70A.250), and the Board has concluded that the buildable lands reports developed to meet the legislative requirements of RCW 36.70A.215 that are formally adopted by legislative bodies are subject to a sixty day period in which appeals to the Board may be made (Seattle-King County Association of Realtors v. King County (CPSGMHB Case No. 04-3-0028); and WHEREAS, the Washington State Department of Community, Trade and Economic Development (CTED) distributed a letter on June 20, 2007, that further Resolution No. 4297 January 15, 2008 Page 1 of 6 advocates following the Board's recommendation to formally acknowledge completion of the Buildable Lands Report; and WHEREAS, the Pierce County Countywide Planning Policies (CPP) are written policy statements used for establishing a countywide framework from which county and city comprehensive plans are developed; and WHEREAS, the Buildable Lands legislation required Pierce County, in consultation with its cities and towns, to adopt countywide planning policies to establish a review and evaluation program; and WHEREAS, proposed amendments to the Pierce County CPP were ratified by the cities and towns and amended by the Pierce County Council in 2005 to incorporate policies addressing buildable lands; and WHEREAS, the Pierce County CPP reference the Pierce County Buildable Lands Procedures Report for guidance on completing the review and evaluation as required under the buildable lands legislation; and WHEREAS, the Pierce County Growth Management Coordinating Committee (GMCC) is a technical subcommittee to the Pierce County Regional Council (PCRC), and the GMCC includes staff representatives from the County and the Cities and Towns within the County; and WHEREAS, the GMCC originally recommended to the PCRC the acceptance of the Procedures Report in 1999; and WHEREAS, the GMCC recommended to the PCRC revisions to the Procedures Report in 2004; and Resolution No. 4297 January 15, 2008 Page 2 of 6 WHEREAS, the PCRC is a multi jurisdictional group. comprised of elected officials who represent the County and the Cities and Towns within the County; and WHEREAS, the PCRC, based upon the recommendations from the GMCC and its own discussions, accepted the 1999 and revised 2004 Procedures Report as guidelines for meeting the review and evaluation requirements of buildable lands; and WHEREAS, the underlying purpose of the review and evaluation report is to determine if there is sufficient suitable land to accommodate the countywide urban population allocation within the adopted urban growth areas; and WHEREAS, new residential platting data and new multi-family building permit information representing development between 2001 and the end of 2005 was collected and reviewed; and WHEREAS, additional research was conducted to identify employment intensity associated with new commercial and industrial development; and WHEREAS, the individual assumptions incorporated into each jurisdiction's capacity analysis was reviewed and agreed upon by the appropriate jurisdiction; and WHEREAS, Pierce County adopted the GMA population allocations for unincorporated Pierce County and each city and town through Pierce County Ordinance 2003-104s; and WHEREAS, the total 2022 county urban area population allocation totals 753,300; and WHEREAS, the 2022 population allocation for the City of Auburn totals 10,500; and Resolution No. 4297 January 15, 2008 Page 3 of 6 WHEREAS, the 2007 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report identifies the need of 1,789 additional housing units to accommodate the 2022 urban population allocation within the City of Auburn; and WHEREAS, the total 2022 County urban employment target totals 325,739 jobs; and WHEREAS, the 2007 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report identifies the need for 88,642 additional jobs to accommodate the County's 2022 urban employment target; and WHEREAS, the 2022 urban employment target for the City of Auburn totals 403 jobs; and WHEREAS, the 2007 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report identifies the need for 132 additional jobs for the City of Auburn to accommodate the City of Auburn 2022 urban employment target; and WHEREAS, the assumptions incorporated in the residential and employment capacity evaluation were developed in consultation with the City of Auburn representative; and WHEREAS, the 2007 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report estimates the urban growth area(s) has an additional housing capacity of 107,866 units; and WHEREAS, the 2007 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report estimates the urban growth area(s) has an additional employment capacity of 136,758 jobs; and WHEREAS, the 2007 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report estimates the City of Auburn has an additional housing capacity of 1,623 units; and Resolution No. 4297 January 15, 2008 Page 4 of 6 WHEREAS, the 2007 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report estimates the City of Auburn has an additional employment capacity of 543 jobs; and WHEREAS, the evaluation of residential and employment capacity as documented in the 2007 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report concludes that there is sufficient capacity to accommodate the total 20-year population allocation and employment target for the entire county; and WHEREAS, the evaluation of residential and employment capacity as documented in the 2007 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report concludes that there is sufficient capacity to accommodate the 20-year employment target and insufficient capacity to accommodate the total 20-year population allocation for the City of Auburn. NOW THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED BY THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF AUBURN, WASHINGTON AS FOLLOWS: Section 1. Purpose. The 2007 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report dated September 1, 2007 is hereby acknowledged and accepted by the City of Auburn to meet the legislative review and evaluation requirements under RCW 36.70A.215. Section 2. Implementation. The Mayor of the City of Auburn is hereby authorized to implement such administrative procedures as may be necessary to carry out the directions of this resolution. Resolution No. 4297 January 15, 2008 Page 5 of 6 Section 3. Effective Date. This Resolution shall take effect and be in full force and effect upon passage and signature hereon. t DATED and SIGNED this ZZt``~day of,~~, ~~ , 2008. CITY OF AUBURN ~ ~/yGr~ ~s'~ l E? r~ ~ PETER B. EWIS MAYOR ATTEST: ~~ Dani E. Daskam, City Clerk APPROVED AS TO FORM iG D niel B. Heid. ity Attorney PUBLISHED: ~ ~~ Resolution No. 4297 January 15, 2008 Page 6 of 6 `"~~ Buildable Lands Report A Monitoring and Evaluation Analysis of Urban Growth and Development Capacity For Pierce County and its Cities and Towns September 1, 2007 Funding provided by the Washington State Department of Community, Trade and Economic Development Pierce County Buildable Lands Report, Executive Summary EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Washington State Growth Management Act (RCW 36.70A), enacted in 1990, requires all counties with a population of 50,000 or more with a high rate of population growth to designate urban growth areas (UGAs). The Act requires that these UGAs be of sufficient size to accommodate the anticipated population growth during the 20-year period following the adoption of the UGA. In accordance with the Act, the Pierce County Council has adopted UGAs for Pierce County and its incorporated cities and towns. In designating these UGAs, the Pierce County Council worked closely with the individual cities and towns to ensure that the UGAs were consistent with local comprehensive plans, urban population forecasts, and population. capacity analyses. As a policy choice, each jurisdiction conducted its own independent residential capacity analysis through their GMA comprehensive plan. The County's analysis encompassed the unincorporated lands associated with the Comprehensive Urban Growth Area. The cities' and towns' analyses encompassed the lands within their respective municipal boundaries. Satellite cities' and towns' analyses also included the unincorporated lands within their respective urban growth areas. The methods, definitions, and assumptions incorporated in the analyses differed by jurisdiction and were not uniform or coordinated. 'The jurisdictional variations incapacity analysis and the lack of specificity in the GMA led to state-wide debate. Much of this debate focused on determining whether or not there were errors in the assumptions used by local governments in sizing their UGAs. This debate resulted in the Washington State Legislature amending the Growth Management Act in 1997 to require certain counties and their cities and towns develop local programs aimed at improving confidence and coordination in their capacity analyses. Pierce County was one of the counties required to develop such a program. Since 1997, Pierce County and its 23 cities and towns have worked collaboratively in a program to collect annual development permitting data, inventory developable land, and enhance information relating to wetlands and steep slopes. Commonly referred to as the Buildable Lands Program, this collaborative program is aimed at satisfying the 1997 amendments to GMA and improving accuracy in the information used to determine the capacity of the County's UGAs. Pierce County published its first consolidated residentiaUemployment capacity analysis in August 2002. The 2002 report consolidated, for the first time, incorporated and unincorporated land development data for all urban areas within Pierce County and met the initial reporting requirements of the Buildable Lands legislation. The conclusion of the 2002 Report was that while some jurisdictions did not have sufficient housing capacity to meet their individual needs, collectively, the countywide urban housing and employment need could be met. -' --- After the submission of the 2002 Report,. Pierce_ County and its cities and towns took actions to _- `' evaluate the need for individual jurisdictions to adopt "reasonable measures" to rectify inconsistencies between the planned assumptions and observed trends. The resulting report, Pierce County Buildable Lands Program Consistency Evaluation, also identifies potential effective measures suitable for the various sizes of jurisdictions. Subsequent efforts focused on September 2007 1 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Executive Siunmary providing education to local elected officials and planning commissions through the presentation ofA Communityfor a Lifetime, depicting the need for a variety of densities within individual jurisdictions. This effort assisted in the acceptance of higher density zoning and modifications to local develo ment re lations in various Jurisdictions. p ~ ~ Recognizing the substantial staff resources the data collection necessitated, the County's data collection procedures were reviewed and, after careful consideration, revised. While jurisdictions were encouraged to report appropriate development activity on an annual basis, most chose to submit information in the later part of the five-year reporting period. Local jurisdictions reviewed the summarized information to assist in identifying various assumptions incorporated in the residential and employment capacity analysis. The results of the-2007 residential and employment capacity analysis concludes that collectively among all the jurisdictions there continues to be an abundant amount of vacant, underdeveloped and redevelopable land to accommodate the adopted urban housing and employment needs for the County and its cities and towns. This report details the methodology, assumptions, and calculations that substantiate this assertion. The report is divided into four sections: Overview of the Pierce County Buildable Land Program; Data Collection; Residential and Commercial Capacity Analysis; and Conclusions. Section I provides an overview of the Buildable Land Program, a general description and historical perspective of state and county legislation addressing development of the program, and discusses the population and employment benchmarks established for the County's UGAs which are monitored by the program, and stakeholder participation opportunities. This section also provides a brief summary of the Pierce County Buildable Lands Program Consistency Evaluation and- progress achieved by local jurisdictions in adopting "reasonable measures." Section II of the report details the information collected through the monitoring procedures and describes the inventory conducted for the capacity analyses. Section III explains the methodology applied to calculate a residential and employment capacity including the factors/assumptions incorporated in the calculations. This section also includes individual chapters for each of the 23 jurisdictions and urban unincorporated Pierce County participating in the program. These chapters provide detailed descriptions of zoning districts, annual development data, and capacity calculations. Section IV of the report summarizes the results of the monitoring and capacity for growth within the designated urban growth areas. A subsequent report will again address the consequences of this monitoring and evaluation exercise. Reasonable measures to achieve adopted density goals will be recommended to the appropriate jurisdictions if discrepancies are evident between the permitted densities and residential policies. ~~ September 2007 2 Pierce County Buildable Lands SECTION I OVERVIEW OF THE PIERCE COUNTY BUILDABLE LANDS PROGRAM Section I -Overview Introduction Pierce County and its 23 cities and towns began developing the Buildable Lands Program in 1997 in response to amendments to the Washington State Growth Management Act enacted that same year. The program seeks to establish a coordinated system for collecting and monitoring data regarding growth and development occurring in Pierce County and its cities and towns.. The program primarily focuses on evaluating two aspects of growth management -- accommodation of projected population growth during the 20-year planning period and the availability of commercial and industrial land for employment purposes. The program is aimed at ensuring greater consistency between local planning efforts under GMA and the growth and development patterns actually occurring in the urban areas of the County and its cities and towns. Why the Program Was Created The Washington State Legislature enacted the Growth Management Act (GMA) in 1990. This Act required local governments to develop rational policies to manage growth in the state. All urban counties and their cities and towns were required to plan under the Act. This planning must address issues in land use, transportation, housing, capital facilities, utilities, and rural lands, and must ensure that the forecasted growth in population for the next 20 years can be accommodated in an efficient manner. An essential component of planning under the Act is the designation of urban growth areas (UGAs). Each county required to plan under GMA. must designate an urban growth area or areas within which urban growth shall be encouraged and outside of which urban growth shall not be allowed. These urban growth areas are to be based upon the projected 20-year population growth forecast for the County and its cities and towns as generated by the Washington State Office of Financial Management. In order to properly size these UGAs such that this population could be accommodated, each jurisdiction planning under the Act conducted a population capacity analysis. These capacity analyses sought to determine how much population could be accommodated in a given area based upon availability of developable land. The jurisdictional variations in capacity analysis and the lack of specificity in GMA led to statewide debate on the subject, with much of the debate focused on determining whether or not ~' there were errors in the assumptions used by local governments in sizing their UGAs. In 1997, -this debate resulted in GMA being amended through Senate Bill 6094, commonly referred to as (, the "Buildable Lands" amendment. The amendment requires certain counties and their cities and towns to monitor development activities through five-year periods and conduct a coordinated housing unit and employment capacity analysis for each owe jurisdictions. Pierce County and its cities and towns are required by state law to participate in-this- Buildable Lands. monitoring program. September 2007 3 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Section I -Overview In July of 2001, the Pierce County Regional Council responded to Senate Bi116094 by recommending the adoption of proposed amendments to Pierce County's Countywide Planning Policies that incorporate monitoring and evaluation policies related to Buildable Lands. These policies primarily require jurisdictions to abide by the guidelines specified in a report entitled, Pierce County Buildable Lands, Procedures for Collecting and Monitoring Data, April 1999. Population andBmployment Projections Evaluating whether or not sufficient capacity exists in Pierce County's UGAs to accommodate the 20-year population projection is one of the central components of the Buildable Lands Program. This population projection provides an essential target used in evaluating the success of growth management efforts. Pursuant to GMA, this population projection is developed by the Washington State Office of Financial Management (OFM). OFM projections are aggregated at the county level; population is not assigned at the city or town level. The first 20-year population projections for Pierce County were released by OFM in 1992. At that time, the Department of Community, Trade, and Economic Development indicated that the projections represented the minimum amount of population for which each county must plan under the Growth Management Act (1992 Growth Management Population Projections, Status and Variances; January 1995; Forecasting Division, Office of Financial Management).. This initial interpretation provided local jurisdictions with a considerable amount of flexibility identifying their 20-year growth projections. OFM originally projected a total population of 812,104 people by the year 2012 for Pierce County. This projection included the population expected in the County's cities and towns. Pierce County and its cities and towns worked collaboratively to determine how this population should be allocated by jurisdiction. This collaboration resulted in the passage of Pierce County Resolution R94-153 in 1994. This resolution allocated a projected population growth of 156,104 through the year 2012 as follows: existing municipal boundaries - 78,304; unincorporated UGAs of satellite cities and towns - 7,993; and Pierce County's Comprehensive Urban Growth Area (CUGA) - 69,807. After Pierce County adopted its 20=year projection, the Central Puget Sound Growth Management Hearings Board (CPSGMHB) ruled the projection prepared by OFM for a county is the minimum and maximum population for which the county should be planning for, unless an alternative has been approved by the CPSGMHB. This interpretation requires the allocation for each city, town, and the county to add up to the specific population provided by OFM. After this rigid interpretation by the Hearings Board, the Washington State Legislature amended RCW 43.62.035 in 1995. The new language provided clarification about the flexibility of the OFM projections. OFM was directed to provide a projection with a range of populations to each county. The projections provide a low, middle, and high estimate. The middle range estimate represents the most likely population projection for the County. The County's projections can be anywhere between the OFM low--and -high range estimates. _- On December 29, 1995, OFM officially transmitted the Growth Management Act Population Projections in accordance with RCW 43.62.035. The projections entail five-year intervals from September 2007 4 C r. ~~ r. r 0 C ~I r I'icrcc County Buildable Lands Report Section I -Overview 11)95 through 2010, and annual projections from 2010 through 2020. The range for the 2017 projection was from a low 826,498 to a high of 952,981, with 884,597 as the mid-range estimate. In 1997, in response to the release of the OFM range and the incorporation of three cities, the County began a process to update its 20-year (1997-2017) urban population projections. Through Resolution R97-59, Pierce County allocated the tota12017 population of 914,240, an urban population of 720,040 and a rural population of 194,200. An allocation for Edgewood. was not included. Through Pierce County Resolution R2000-173, the 20-year urban population allocation was revised to 729,471, resulting in a total County allocation of 923-,671. This revision incorporated a population projection for the City of Edgewood and an adjustment to the allocation associated with the cities of Lakewood and Gig Harbor. After the release of the 2002 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report, Pierce County, in consultation with its cities and towns, revised and extended-its 20-year population allocation to the year 2022. Through Pierce County Ordinance No. 2003-104s, the OFM 2022 mid-range estimate, totaling 912,700, was ,adopted as the County's total population allocation. Of this total, 522,920 is allocated to within the municipal limits (as of 2002),.230,380 is allocated within Pierce County's unincorporated urban growth area, and 159,400 is allocated within Pierce County's designated rural and resource areas. A comparison of the 2017 and 2022 population allocations highlights an intriguing point; the 2017 population allocation is approximately 10,000 people higher than the 2022 allocation despite the five year extension. A primary reason for this situation is that the 2000 census information reported a lower 2000 population figure than the 2000 population projection in the OFM 1995 GMA population series. Consequently, the notion was that because the 2017 total population allocation was at the high end of the OFM 1995 population projection series, and the 2000 estimate for-the same series was lower than the 2000 census count, the 2017 population allocation was too high. A closer comparison of the 2017 and 2022 allocations reveals the dramatic allocation decrease occurred within the designated rural and resource areas. I+igure 1. ', 2017 and 2022Population Allocation~~Comparisoir 2017 20?2 Difference _ _ Munici al Allocation 515,087 522,920 +7,833 Unincorporated UGA Allocation 214,384 230,380 +15,996 Rural Area Allocation 194,200 159,400 -34,800 County Tbtal 923,671 912,700 - x,971 The detailed-2022 urban population allocation for Pierce County-and each of its cities and towns are provided in Figure 2: September 2007 5 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Section I -Overview Fibure 2. - 2022 Po elation Yro`ections for~Urban Areas. iii Pierce County' ~~` Mwiieipality Municipai~~1CA .(Within 2002 Municipal Lio~its) Unincorporated U~i~ Auburn 7;950. 3,550 Bonney Lake 18,830 3,180 Buckley 5,200 N/A Carbonado 830 50 DuPont 9,100 N/A Eatpnville 2,780 1,340 Edgewood 13,700 N/A Fife 8,900 680 Fircrest 6,800 40 Gig Harbor 10,800 9,950 Lakewood 72,000 24,900 Milton 7,000 670 Ogg 7,900 N/A Pacific 0 10 Puyallup 38,600 11,500 Roy 1,000 20 Ruston 1,760 N/A South Prairie 830 50 Steilacoom 6,900 N/A Sumner 12,250 2,100 Tacoma 255,240 67,100 University Place 34,000 N/A Wilkeson 550 N/A Fife/Milton Overlap N/A 200 Lakewood/Steilacoom Overlap N/A 2,600 Unincorp. Urban Pierce County ---- - - -- N/A 102,440 urban Total 5.22,920 230,3b(} 'Pierce County Council Resolution No. 2003-104s September 2007 6 Pierce County Buildable Lands Section I -Overview Employment Targets In addition to evaluating population capacity, the Buildable Lands legislation also requires an evaluation of commercial and industrial land needs for the 20-year planning period. In order to evaluate these needs, it was essential that an employment projection for the 20-year planning period be developed. Such employment projections were not originally required by GMA, and consequently were not developed by local governments. Fil;ure 3. Piercc County 2022 Em loyment~Taraets Municipality ~~' Efi~p~oyment Target Auburn 403 Bonney Lake 4,420 Buckley 2,066 Carbonado . 64 DuPont 7,370 Eatonville 2,400 Edgewood 1,431 Fife 15,271 Fircrest 1,349 Gig Harbor 8,638 Lakewood 31,210 Milton 1,774 Orting 2,000 Pacific 3,355 Puyallup 25,035 Roy 139 Ruston 392 South Prairie 262 Steilacoom 500 Sumner 9,275 Tacoma 147,092 U.P. 6,699 Wilkeson 146 Unincorporated Urban 54,448 Total 316,033 Total Jobs covered by ESD minus construction/resource sector. Jobs within Fort Lewis, McChord AFB, and Camp Murray are not included in the Unincorporated Pierce County estimate. °Unincorporated Urban" encompasses all the adopted unincorporated Pierce County UGAs. The estimates/targets are based on the muniapal boundaries at the end of 2005. For the 2002 Buildable Land Report, the Pierce County Regional Council (PCRC) formally accepted 2017 employment targets for sole purpose of the buildable lands analysis. A similar process was followed in the identification of 2022 employment targets. It should be noted that the 2022 employment targets encompass employment covered by the Washington-State Employment Security Department, excluding the construction and resource sector employment. September 2007 7 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report .Section I -Overview Uncovered employment would include, but not limited to, self-employed workers, proprietors, and CEOs. The 2022 employment target was accepted by PCRC on January 18, 2007. Local and Regional Framework While the Growth Management Act was silent on the details of urban density, sizing and analyzing the sufficiency of urban growth areas, local planning policies and decisions by the Central Puget Sound Growth Management Hearings Board (CPSGMHB) have established specific guidance on some of these issues. Additional guidance is provided through a document entitled "Buildable Lands Program Guidelines," published by the Washington State Department of Community, Trade and Economic Development. Central Puget Sound Growth Management Hearing Board (CPSGMHB) The Washington State Legislature created the three independent boards in 1991 to "hear and determine" allegations that a city, county, or state agency has not complied with the goals and requirements of the Growth Management Act, and related provisions of the Shoreline Management Act'and the State Environmental Policy Act. Because disputes often center on conflicting views of the meaning of various GMA provisions, a board may need to interpret the Act, clarifying ambiguities and reconciling apparent internal conflicts. The CPSGMHB oversees Pierce County and its 23 cities and towns. The CPSGMHB has decided various cases which involve appropriate urban densities and the sizing of urban growth areas. The following summarizes a few of their decisions. The CPSGMHB has concluded that counties must "show their work" when designating UGAs. The CPSGMHB presumes actions of the local jurisdiction are valid. However, when challenged, documentation must be provided that supports the actions taken by the jurisdiction, otherwise the action may be determined to have been taken in error. The CPSGMHB has concluded that an oversupply (safety factor) of developable land within an urban growth area is reasonable. A safety factor helps maintain real estate sales competition and is intended to assure continued affordability of land. If a safety factor exceeds 25 percent of the needed capacity and is brought before the CPSGMHB, the CPSGMHB will scrutinize the justification in its decision.. Buildable Lands Program Guidelines The Growth Management Division of the Washington State Department of Community, Trade and Economic Development published a document entitled "Buildable Lands Program Guidelines"~ in June 2000. The purpose of the guidebook is to assist local governments in developing a Buildable Lands Program that meet the requirements of GMA. The guidelines describe types of data to collect, methods in collecting the data, and how to analyze the data. Pierce County Countywide Planning Policies (CPPs) -The P-fierce County Countywide Planning Policies are written statements that establish a __countywide framework for the development of growth management guidelines adopted by the County and its cities and towns. The framework is intended to ensure consistency among all September 2007 8 u Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Section I -Overview jurisdictions in addressing certain growth management issues. Pierce County adopted its Countywide Planning Policies on June 30, 1992 with additional amendments in 1996 and 2005: The section of the CPPs entitled "Countywide Planning Policy on Urban Growth Areas, Promotion of Contiguous and Orderly Development and Provision of Urban Services to Such Development," includes various policies associated with the Buildable Lands program. The related policies primarily address the sizing of the. urbar4 growth boundary, the allocation of the projected population, and appropriate average density within the urban growth area. '~"" As stipulated in policy 2.1.1, "Urban growth areas must be of sufficient size to accommodate only the urban growth projected to occur over the succeeding 20-year planning period." This infers that the urban growth area should not be over-sized. However, in determining the appropriate size of the urban growth area, various components must be taken into account, such- as critical areas, open space, and a safety factor, i.e., maintaining a supply of developable land sufficient to allow market forces to operate. Policy 6.1 directs the County and cities and towns to plan for efficient land use patterns while conserving natural resources. The policy further defines efficient land use as .development with at least an average net density of four units per acre. Associated policies also support the need for in-fill and compact development in achieving an efficient land use pattern. Pierce County Comprehensive Plan The Pierce County Comprehensive Plan contains various policies that address the designated urban growth areas. Most noteworthy, the policies limit the safety factor (referenced as a market factor in policy) to no greater than 25 percent for urban Pierce. County. They further state that the methodology for its calculation shall.be evaluated and adjusted over time, taking into consideration changes in population projections and land supply in both unincorporated Pierce County as well as municipal jurisdictions in the County. Through the County's 10-year GMA comprehensive plan update process, an additional policy was incorporated to clarify that the expansion of the urban growth area should be evaluated against the collective countywide need, not the need of an individual city or town. Annual Data Collection and Monitoring Under the Program Much of the emphasis in the Buildable Lands Program focuses on the collection and monitoring of annual development data in order to evaluate whether or not population and employment targets are being met. Pierce County and its cities and towns provide data regarding new development that has occurred including information such as the number of dwelling units, acreage, building square footage, and zone classification. A detailed discussion of data collection is provided in Section II of this document. The results of the data monitoring between 2001 and 2005 is provided in Section III. Residential and Commercial Land Capacity Analysis The methodology used to conduit the Residential and Commercial Land Capacity Analysis is provided in Section III of this -document. A discussion of the results o~ the capacity analysis is provided in Section IV -Conclusion. A future report is planned that will provide September 2007 9 I'u`I~ ~~ 1'~utul~ ItuilJ~lil~> I nrni. It,: (~~~il `:it lti~u I (IvrtvlCW rccomi~ne~ndations hascd upon this analysis. It is anticipated that such capacity analyses will be completed every five years throughout the life of the UGAs. .__._ Reasonable Measures ~' Although much attention is focused on the residential. and employment capacity of the adopted urban growth areas, the Buildable Lands legislation also .directs local governments to evaluate whether assumed densities incorporated in the analysis are consistent with the observed densities realized for in-.the-ground projects during the appropriate five-year period. Where local governments find that assumed and observed densities differ, measures must be adopted and implemented that are reasonably likely to increase consistency during the subsequent five-year period. " Pierce County Buildable Lands Program In A ri12004 Pierce Coun released a re ort entitled p ty P Consistency Evaluation. " The report, prepared by EcoNorthwest, is intended to assist Pierce County and its cities and towns in meeting the requirements of RCW 36.70A.215 ,- Buildable Lands. More specifically, through the conclusions of the report, 13 jurisdictions were identified which may be required to adopt "reasonable measures" to rectify inconsistencies between observed densities and density assumptions incorporated in the September 2002 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report. The study also identified a menu of measures that would.be reasonably likely to encourage densification and classified the effectiveness of various strategies by the size of the jurisdiction. It should also be noted that of the remaining 10 cities and towns that were classified as not needing to adopt reasonable measures, four did not have sufficient development data post GMA adopted plans to make a conclusion. In an effort to assist planners in cities and towns identified as needing to adopt reasonable measures, Pierce County, using CTED grant funds, contracted with EcoNorthwest and AHBL to provide technical assistance in implementing reasonable. measures. This effort involved various meetings with local planning staff and public presentations before elected officials and planning commissions. As a means to defuse local resistance to higher density development the focus of the strategy and presentations revolved around the context of A Community for a Lifetime. These efforts were received with a positive reception and resulted in some jurisdictions proposing. increased density. - ~ In an effort to identify each of the 13 jurisdictions' progress in adopting reasonable measures, a survey was distributed in the fall of 2006. Jurisdictions provided a favorable response. The majority of responses indicated that development regulation amendments and rezones may be categorized as reasonable measures. However, in the majority of instances, jurisdictions did not indicate the actions were reasonable measures in response to the "Buildable Lands Program Consistency Evaluation. " It should also be noted that the timeframe in which the reasonable measures were adopted/effective spanned from 2001 to 2006, with the majority occurring in the later years. There is not evidence to indicate that any individual jurisdiction established a monitoring system to annually evaluate the effectiveness of the adopted reasonable measure. Given the timeframe in which most measures were adopted, it is relatively unlikely that the density associated with development built between 2001 and the-end of 2005 was a result of any adopted measures. _ September 2007 10 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Section I -Overview Jurisdictional and Other Stakeholder Participation Cities and Towns Representatives from Pierce County and its cities and towns have had various opportunities to actively participate in all components of the project. Through a subcommittee of the Growth Management Coordinating Committee (GMCC), representatives completed a detailed review of the 2002 capacity methodology, data collection procedures, and land use inventory guidelines. After three meetings in early 2006; the subcommittee forwarded its recommendations to the GMCC for consideration and approval. The majority of representatives were involved in the Buildable Lands discussion through participation at the monthly GMCC meetings. Throughout the project, the GMCC's monthly agenda included one or more topics related to the Buildable Lands project. Through a few action items the GMCC. forwarded recommendations to the Pierce County Regional Council (PCRC), such as the 2022 employment targets. Other action items included modifying the data collection procedures and establishing countywide land inventory guidelines. Elected officials have been briefed on the progress of the project through several presentations at the-PCRC. As an action item, they accepted the recommended 2022 employment targets for the purpose of the Buildable Lands Program and accepted the update to the "Pierce County Buildable Lands, Procedures for Collecting and Monitoring Data" report. Local staff was instrumental in identifying jurisdictional assumptions and criteria to be incorporated in the residential and employment capacity calculations. After initial text and calculations were completed local staff had the opportunity to review their individual jurisdiction's section of the draft 2007 Piece County Buildable Lands Report. In addition, as a stakeholder of the project, individual jurisdictions had an opportunity to review and comment on the entire draft report prior to its submittal a final to the Washington State Department of ~ Community, Trade, and Economic Development on September 1, 2007. Other Stakeholders Other stakeholders associated with the Buildable Lands project include representatives of the residential building industry, residentiaUcommercial developers, environmental organizations, and real estate industry. A core group of individuals representing -these interest groups were identified and invited to participate in three meetings. Invited organizations included, but were not limited to, the Pierce County Master Builders Association (MBA), Tacoma/Pierce County Realtors Association, Friends of Pierce County, and Futurewise. During the scheduled meetings participants were briefed on the overall project as well as specific components. In addition to follow-up discussions with individual organizations, the stakeholder group had an opportunity to review and comment on a draft report prior to the submittal of the final Report to the Washington State Department of Community, Trade, and Economic Development on September 1, 2007. September 2007 11 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Section III -Auburn City of Auburn The City's 2006 population and employment estimates and 2022 population allocation and employment targets are provided below: Population in Pierce County Employment in Pierce County 2006 5;135 t 2714 2022 7,9502 4035 Adjusted 20223 10,500 1 April 1, 2006 OFM Population Estimate 2 Pierce County Ordinance No. 2003-104s. 3 Adjusted to incorporate property annexed since 2001. n Covered Employment estimate from Washington EDS, minus resource/construction jobs. s Employment Tazget accepted by PCRC on January 18, 2007. Represents ESD covered employment, minus resource/construction jobs. The City's GMA Comprehensive Plan was adopted in April 1995. The first annexation by Auburn within Pierce County occurred in 1998. Auburn contains area in both King and Pierce counties, with the majority of the city's area and population located in King County. The City of Auburn recently completed the 2007 Buildable Lands analysis for the King County portion of the city, which demonstrated adequate residential capacity including a surplus of 784 households. The majority of the area within the City limits in Pierce County is associated with the Lakeland Hills South Planned Unit Development (PUD). The maximum density allowed in a planning area is calculated on a net "usable" area basis. Non-buildable areas and land set aside for non- residential .land uses are subtracted from the gross area of the site to determine net usable area. Non-buildable areas do not include public and private roads and driveways. The net usable area acreage within a planning area is then multiplied by the residential densities allowed by the Comprehensive Plan designation to produce the maximum number of dwelling units allowed in that planning area. Remaining areas are zoned Light Commercial (C-1), Terrace View (TV), Public Use (P-1), and Single Family Residential (R-1). The City's GMA Comprehensive Plan contains seven land use designations for properties within Pierce County. These designations are as follows: Auburn I,aud`Use Designations Specific to Pierce County J Auburn Land Use'Designations ~ lmplcruentng Zones ~ Single Family Residential Designates and protects areas for single-family dwellings. R-1 This zone creates a living environment of optimum standards for single-family dwellings and limits development to relatively low degrees of density. This district provides for the development of single-family detached dwellings, not more than one such dwelling on each lot, and for related accessory uses. In accordance with Auburn City Code Section i 8.02.050, property that is not zoned by the City of Auburn prior to annexation shall assume the R-1 designation upon annexation. September 2007 21 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Section III /~ i i l ~i u, i Auburn Land Use Desil;nations Specitlc to Pierce County ~..-.._~ AuburrrLand UseDes' nafions [tip len~entin z Lones Single Family Residential PUD Designates and protects areas for The Lakeland Hills South PUD is zoned "Planned Unit single-family dwellings. Development (PUD) District -Lakeland Hills South Special Platt. Area" (Auburn City Code Chapter 18.76). The PUD is divided into planning areas with varying densities and development standards. Allowable residential densities include 6 units per acre for.single family. The Lakeland Hills South Development Agreement, as amended, allows the developer flexibility to choose densities in planning areas within the PUD, so long as the overall density limitations provided for by the Comprehensive Plan are adhered to and the maximum number of dwelling units for the entire PUD is not exceeded. The maximum allowable number of residential units within the PUD development is 3,408. Moderate Density Residential PUD Provides a transition between The Lakeland Hills South PUD is zoned "Planned Unit single-family residential areas and Development (PUD) District -Lakeland Hills South Special other more intensive designations. Plan Area" (Auburn City Code Chapter 18.76). The PUD is divided into planning areas with varying densities and development standards. Allowable residential densities include 14 units per acre for moderate density. The Lakeland Hills South Development Agreement, as amended, allows the developer flexibility to choose densities in planning areas within the PUD, so long as the overall density limitations provided for by the Comprehensive Plan are adhered to and the maximum number of dwelling units for the entire PUD is not exceeded. The maximum allowable number of residential units within the PUD development is 3,408. Hi Density Residential PUD Provides for the most economical The Lakeland Hills South PUD is zoned "Planned Unit forms of housing. Development (PUD) District -Lakeland Hills South Special Plan Area" (Auburn City Code Chapter 18.76). The PUD is divided into planning areas with varying densities and development standards. Allowable residential densities include 19 units per acre for high density. The Lakeland Hills South Development Agreement, as amended, allows the developer flexibility to choose densities in planning areas within the PUD, so long as the overall density limitations provided for by the Comprehensive Plan are adhered to and the maximum number of dwelling units for the entire PUD-is-nat exceeded. The maximum allowable number of residential units within the PUD develo meat is 3,408. September 2007 22 r r r r ^ r ^ 7 Pierce Coun Buildable Lands Re ort h' P Section III -Auburn - -- Auburn Land Usc llcsignations Spcciiic to Pierce. Count~~ Auburn Land Usc Designations [ail ~lcmentin' ;Zones Light Commercial C-1 Provides pedestrian oriented This zone represents the primary commercial designation for commercial areas with a wide small to moderate scale commercial activities developed in a range of services. consistent manner which attracts pedestrian-oriented activities. This zone encourages leisure shopping and provides amenities conducive to attracting shoppers. Several properties located at the western end of the city limits off of East Valley Highway are zoned Light Commercial (C-1). PUD The Lakeland Hills South PUD is zoned "Planned Unit Development (PUD) District -Lakeland Hills South Special Plan Area" (Auburn City Code Chapter 18.76). The PUD is divided into planning areas with varying densities and development standards and certain areas planned for commercial uses. Heavy Commercial TV Provides automobile oriented This zone establishes zoning. requirements for the property commercial areas, areas- commonly known as "Terrace View", which reflect zoning designated for the most intensive provisions allowed by Pierce County and project submittals commercial uses. made to Pierce County. The zoning district is a modified version of the City of Auburn C-3 (Heavy Commercial) zoning district, with the major modification being that the zone allows multi-family units as a permitted use. Several properties located at the western end of the city limits off of East Valley Hi wa are zoned Terrace View Open Space PUD. Provides for undevelopable land The Lakeland Hills South PUD is zoned "Planned Unit due to environmental constraints Development (PUD) District -Lakeland Hills South Special and protects resources and land Plan Area" (Auburn City Code Chapter 18.76). The PUD is for public purposes. divided into planning areas with varying densities and development standards. I R-1 This zone creates a living environment of optimum standards for single-family dwellings and limits development to relatively low degrees of density. This district provides for the development of single-family detached dwellings, not more than one such dwelling. on each lot, and for related accessory uses. In accordance withAuburn City Code Section 18.02.050, ___. .property that is not zoned-by the City of Auburn prior to annexation shall assume the R-1 d~si anon u on annexation. September 2007 23 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Section III -Auburn Auburn Land Use Designations Specific to Pierce County AuburrrLand Use Designations Im lcmentin Zones Public and Quasi-Public Provides areas needed for public and quasi-public community services such as parks. P-1 This zone provides for the appropriate location and development of public uses that serve the cultural, educational, recreational, and public service needs of the community. Several properties located. at the western end of the city limits west of East Valley Highway are zoned Public Use (P-1). . Table l - Cih~ of AuUurn: :~ Summai• r o~Buildiri Permits for Nrulki-Fami1 bevelo merit . `Land llse De$igrtation ZonSing ~' District DcnsitvltJnits 2001 ~ 2002 ~ 21)03 2004~~ 2005, Gross N/A N/A N/A N/A 17.20 High Density PUD Net 17.20 Residential Units 16 derate M Gross 10.46 9.88 9.04 32.90. 13.53. o Density PUD Net 10.46 9.88 9.04 32.90 13.53 Residential Units 95 124 35 81 195 Gross N/A N/A N/A N/A 19.94 Heavy ~ Net 19.94 Commercial Units 430 Table 2 - City of Auhr~rn: Summary of 1't-7rcel-Specific Residential 1'Iatting~Activity; Land'Usrr Designation Toning District DensityfLots 2001 2002 2003 2004' ` 2005' Gross N/A 0.05 N/A N/A N/A Heavy ~ Net 0.05 Commercial Lots 2 derate M Gross N/A .81 N/A N/A 4.89 o Density PUD Net 1.22 6.12 Residential Lots 187 ~ le Si -Gross N/A N/A N/A N/A 2.40 ng Family R-1 _-Net _. _ . 4.89 Residential --Lots 74 September 2007 24 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Section III -Auburn Table 3 -City of Auburn: Summary ofParcel-S ecific Commercial and IndustriaLDevclo ment Acti~~ity Land Usc %oning 2001 2002 ,2003 2001 20U~ Designation District Gross N/A 12.48 N/A 1.57 N/A Acres Light pUD Bldg. Commercial 125,602 14,560 Sq. Ft. FAR 0.23 0.21 Table 4 -City of Aulaurn: :- De~~clo meat Assum ifions and Trends 200]-2005 Average 2022'Assumptons~ People~per Household 2.37 2.6 R-1:5.4 du/na Residential Density Refer to tables 1 and 2. TV: 36.3 du/na mixed Usc Designations: Percent of Residential and 100% / 0% N/A .Commercial development Percent of Land Used 1 73% 7% [ for; Roads 0 w o 'Percent of Land ; Designated: Critical 27.53% 5% Areas (Constrained) °'~ Percent of Land Used N/A 2% for: Recreation /Park Percent of Land Used for: PublicFacilitics / ~ N/A I% Institutions Percent of Land in Residentially 7oncd Districts fur non- N/A N/A residential uses (i.e. churches) Per. cent of Land Dnavailable for N/A 1% Development 3Manufacturing/Warehousing: tI:15 CommerciaUServices: Employees per Gross Acre CommerciaUServices:-14.37 ~ 19.37 ' The assumptions are not applied to projects wim me Laxeiana rims ~outn ruli. 2 2000 Census 3 Pierce County Employment Intensity Survey September 2007 25 Pierce County Buildable Lands Section III -Auburn Tablc 5 -City of Auburn: Assumptions f'or Vacant, Vacant Single Unit Lots, Underdeveloped .and Rerlevclo ableComtneeciaUlndustrial Parcelst Zoning t ~ avant Vacant (Single '2 Underdeveloped ` Redevelopablc ~~' ll' trict Unit} Commercial/~ lndustrial Greater than or Less than .46 Greater than or R-1 e ual to .46 acres acres a ual to .46 acres TV No Acreage Threshold Land value greater than C-1 No Acreage or equal to improvement Threshold value 'T'he assumptions are not apptieu to projects wttn the La~cetana Wins ~oum ruL. ZException: Improvement value greater than $500,000. 3Exception: Condominium ownership. September 2007 26 d a 0 .J a~ b .4: b '~ a~ a~ a I a~ b b w a jY ~ CC ~ ..+'r vi J..1 c~ C U G7. O ~ c J J O y ~ A ~ ~ v ^o `~ u a b o ~, ~, ~° b o a ~ _ z 'd +-' _N O ec! ~ ~ ~ ~ . w 7 ~ O /+ ^~ ~ ~ i rc. •-~ C/) N i ~ ~ \ O ~. c ~ z ~ ~ ~ w o py ~ U > _ O N _ oo M Obi M O O O ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ O O~ ~--~ l~ l~ ~O ~ `p N .-~ .--~ .-~ .--~ q '~ ~ ~ '~ O rn L'A ~ "ou ~' O i `~~~ V' 00 ~ O M l~ tt ~ [~ I~ l~ ~p ~p V •"' r}' ~ M ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~. v 'd +-~ ~.; • r •~ ~ V~ CJ V CV ~ ~ ~ L ~ CVQ b /-' '~ ~ ~ C 0.~ ~ -o ~ ~ a v ~ ~ v, ~ ~ -o Q d' c ca `` UA E ~ . SUOI ^ ^ L 3 c ' y ~ ~ ,. o N c~ :7 ~ U c d w {z, q u Q `'~ .,~pj~ ~Y.IIpIA~pUj v ~ o~ `C, ~ b u d~ ~ G F.,7 w _ a, W ~ o a~ ~'I~~' c q . ~ ;G7 ~ A x b a ~~ U rr~~ U y cd (~ ~ b ~_ m ~ yam, O N ~ o N ~ o ~~ ~~~ b ~ a~ o ., ~ o ~ ~oQ ~~ ~~~~ ~,~~ ~ H o ~ ~ ~ •D ~ ~ vi a~ q 3~ ~ Y ~Y ~ "~~ b o ~~' °~' a p ~ ~ °n .~ y ~ ~ ~b ~ a~ o '~ w ~ ~ o ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ti ~ M ~ ~' "'" N 3 ~ 'Y ~~ c U ~ ob a a. ~, ~; o~ N o ~ ~ ~ ~ R' a O ~ 4¢~. d0 O ~ U ~ ~ U o n y N ~ ~ y~ 3 ~ k dw~. ~ ~ o mow ~~ r O O N N ~ ~ N :~ Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Section III -Auburn Table 7 -City of A~t~i t`ii:-Housing Unit Needs Assumed 2022=:'~~ Additional ~ ~Totaf° 2006 Adjusted 2022 Housing :Housing Plus Displaced [Idusing Housing 2022.. ~ Ilouschold -Units Needed ~Units~ Units~~ '= Units Nopulatioit Size :Needed. ~ '06 -'22)- Nceded~ '~ 2,250 10,500 2.60 4,038 1,788 1 1,789 ' Source UNM Apnl 1, 1(106 estunate z Existing housing units associated with underdeveloped and. multi-family redevelopable parcels adjusted down to reflect "unavailable to develop" assumption. s Total housing needs associated with allocated population assuming 100% occupancy. Table 8 ~ CityofAuburn l.lotxsiilg Unit Capacity .; ._::z„ Plus l x:;. ~ Adjusted ~ Assumed... ~ Unit Dwelling Unit ~ Ilousiil~ Lonin~ District b :Net Acres Density Capacih~. per Yacattt . Capacity ` net Lot R-1 90.58 5.4 489 0 489 Lakeland Hills South PUD N/A N/A 1,134 0 1,134 Totalllousing 1,623 Ca aci Table 9 -City of Auburn: Supply of Landwfor CommerciaVlndustrial Employment ~Z~-ning Uistrict ~ Cl PUDI Redev. Redev.. Redev. Land 'Type Vacant Underdev. Com'U acant Com'U ~, Industrial ndustrial Gross Acres ~ 11.92 ~~ 0 0 211.81 0 0 `~'uturc Capital 0 haclities Gross Acres with 11.92 Facilities Deduction Land Unavailable for .11 Develo ruent Adjusted Gross Acres 11.81 Total Adjusted Cross 11.81 N/A Acres Displaced Unit 'The assumptions are not applied to projects wtm the Latcelana titles aoutn ruli. i ne tota- Hamner or~oos reiaiea to me remaining commercial lands within the Lakeland Hills PUD is estimated at 145. z For Mixed Use Zones, gross acres represent the percentage of land assumed for commercial uses. See Table 5 "Development Assumptions and Trends." September 2007 28 . 1 N M N r Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Section III -Auburn `I'ablc 9 -City ofAt~hurn: 5i~pply of Landfor Cainnlercial/Industrial Employment 7ouing District TV Redev. Redev. land `Type Vacant Underdev. Com'1/ Vacant Underdev. Com'1/ Industrial Industrial Gross Acresl 8.84 0 0 Future Capital ~ Facilities Grnss Acres with ~ 8 84 Facilities Deduction Land Unavailable for .09 Develo ment Adjusted Gross-Acres .8.73 ,Total Adjusted Cross 8 75 Acres Displaced Unit 'For Mixed Use Zones, gross acres represent the percentage of land assumed for commercial uses. See Table S "llevelopment Assumptions and Trends: ' Table 10 -City of Auburn: Employment Needs 2006 2022 Employment Plus Displaced. Additional Employment ~ T+;mployment Grawth ~ Employees froul Rede~relopable Employment Estimate Target (2006-2022) r _ Conl e ci~ 1 Needs 271 403 132 0 132 " Source J/Sll Apr11 1, ZllU6 covereti~obs estimate minus resourceiconstrucnon~ons. z Displaced employees associated with redevelopable lands aze adjusted down to reflect `~inavailable to develop" assumption. Table ll. -City of Auburn: Employment Capacity Commercial / Adjusted Net Employees per ~ Employment Tndustrial loving District Acres Acre Capacih' Desi nation ~ C-1 11.81 19.37 229 Commercial TV 8.75 19.37 169 Lakeland Hills N/A N/A 145 South PUD Total' '' Employment 543 __ Ca achy __ September 2007 29 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Section IV -Conclusion SECTION IV CONCLUSION General Overview The 2007 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report is a milestone project in an on-going monitoring and evaluation program. The development data collected and reviewed in this report represents a changing urban environment in Pierce County and its cities and towns since the adoption of GMA comprehensive plans. The adopted 2022 population allocations and assumptions applied in the housing and employment capacity analyses reflect a redirection of growth through redevelopment and achieving higher density residential projects in cities and towns. While some may be skeptical of the assumptions and the ability for local jurisdictions to meet their future population allocations, it must be understood that the urban growth area(s) is sized fora 20-year planning horizon. This timeframe provides local jurisdictions and the opportunity to influence a change in historical development patterns and characteristics through adopting "reasonable measures" and implementing other community investments. The on-going monitoring program. will reveal if these types of efforts are successful. If not, modification of assumptions will be warranted in future reports. Development Activity The five-year development activity generally indicates that urban density housing is being constructed within the urban growth area. As to densities in the designated rural areas, the subdivision characteristics are not representative of accepted rural densities, this is likely due to development activities of pre-GMA development applications. For various- zoning districts with the County and cities and towns, it is impossible to conclude whether r not there is a trend that indicates an increase or decrease in density due to a low number of projects in certain zones permitted during the five-year period. As indicated in Table 16, an average of 76 percent of the residential housing permits were issued in the urban area. The lots associated with formal plats and short plats recorded between 2001 and 2005 also indicate a decrease in housing activity in the designated rural and resource lands. While the average split of 87 percent urban and 13 percent rural, for the year 2005, roughly 93 percent of the recorded lots were located in the urban areas. It should be noted that an unknown component of this data is the percentage of units and lots that are intended for seasonaUvacation homes, as opposed to permanent year-round residence. September 2007 335 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report ~ Section N -Conclusion Table 1G -1'iel-ce County Ruxal/Urban i~~velopment Split Net Housm `I7nits Permits)' Average 2001 20Q2 , 2003`:. 200 2005 Total Urban 4,829 4,765 4,193 3,893 5,387 5,908 24,146 Rural 1,491 1,448 1,400 .1,487 1,390 1,730 7,455 Total 6,320 6,213 5,593 5,380 6,777 7,638 31,601 %Urban/Rural 76%/24% 77%/23% 75%/25% 72%/28% 79%/21% 77%/23% 76%/24% Recorded Lots Urban 3,297 2,843 3,107 2,552 4,122 3,864 16,488 Rural 471. 669 408 359 640 281 2,357 Total 3,768 3,512 .3,515 2,911 4,762 4,145 18,845 Urban/Rural n.___. a____~ r 87%/13% 81%/19% 88%/12% 88%/12% 87%/13% 93%/7% 87%/13% r u~c~ ovuuu iccgiunai ~.ouncn Hnnua- nousing tiull(ling Permit Data, 'O1 - 'O5. z Recorded lots associated with short plats and formal plats. The total number of lots may not equal the total lots in Table 2 associated with each jurisdiction. Plats were excluded from Table 2 if not all necessary data was obtained associated with the development. Plats were identified via Pierce County Auditor files. Residential and Employment Capacity Analysis The collective results of the analyses demonstrate that the adopted urban growth area encompasses more area than necessary to accommodate the 2022 urban population allocation and 2022 employment target for the County and its cities and towns. While the individual residential analyses indicated a few jurisdictions fall short of accommodating their allocated growth, the excess capacity in many other jurisdictions more than compensate for the individual deficits. As illustrated in Table 17, a Countywide total of 64,176 additional housing units. are needed to accommodate the urban 2022 urban population allocation. The estimated housing capacity equals 107,866. This difference accounts for an excess of dwelling units at approximately 68 percent. Applying a healthy 5 percent vacancy rate only decreases the total urban countywide capacity by 3,203 residential units, maintaining an excess housing capacity of approximately 64 percent. - Table 17 Summary of 2022 Residential Housin ~ Need Vs. Capacity 2022 2022 2022 Munici all P ~ Ad'ustcd J ` Additional Adjusted Housing Estimated ~ Housing Difference Allocated Populativni z Needs Capacity (d~~'elling units) dwellin ~ units) _ dive lines units) Aubum 10,500 1,789 1,623 -166 Bonney Lake 20,510 2,216 2,061 -155 Buckley 5,200 392 350 -42 Carbonado 830 62 113 51 September 2007 336 r 0 0 f. r~ I. '= 1 Pierce County Buildable Lands Section IV -Conclusion Tab1~17 -- Summar~~ of 2022 Rcsiden ~o~usin * Need Vs. Ca aci lanicipality~~ 2022 .Adjusted ~ ~ ~~Allo~ated =Populations Zf~ ~ ~'. Addifional Adjusted Housing ~ ~ Needs` (d--~ellin~ units ~ =.2022 Estimated ~ Housing Capacity (dwelling units) Difference (d-vellinl; units) -~ DuPont 9,100 953 5,220 4,267 Eatonville 2,780 257 1,837 1,580 Edgewood 13,700 . 1,918 2,763 845 Fife 8,900 1,008 1,849 841 Fircrest 6,800 357 418 61 Gig. Harbor 11,675 2,503 2,787 284 Lakewood 72,000 6,865 9,299 2,434 Milton 7,250 790 398 -392 Orting 7,900 1,215 2,280 1,065 Pacific 0 0 0 0 Puyallup 39,600 1,744 2,801 1,057 Roy 1,000 105 157 52 Ruston 1,760 479 1,078 599 South Prairie 830 115 105 -10 Steilacoom 6,900 437 734 297 Sumner 12,250 1,604 2,327 723 Tacoma 255,240 26,671. 19,629 -7,042 University Place 34,000 1,609 3,199 1,590 Wilkeson 550 26 83 57 Unincorp. Urban Pierce County 199,125 11,061 46,755 35,694 Urban Total 728,400 64,176 107,866 43,690 Pierce County Ordinance No. 2003-104s adjusted to incorporate property annexed since 2001. 2 Additional dwelling units needed between 2006 and 2022, including displaced housing units associated with underdeveloped and redevelopable multi-family properties. _ __. As illustrated in Table 18, a countywide total of 121,583 additional jobs are needed to meet the 2022 total employment target. The estimated employment capacity equals 136,758, representing an excess of approximately 12 percent of total needs. As noted previously, the accepted September 2007 337 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Section IV -Conclusion employment targets not do include covered resource and construction employment or employment not covered by the Washington Unemployment Insurance Act, such as self- employed workers, proprietors, and CEOs. While the resource/construction sectors do not have a direct relation with land consumption, because the majority of employees work in the field, i.e, construction sites, the non-covered employment does. Applying an acceptable inflation figure of 1.12 to the additional covered employment needed to reach the employment target would result in 136,172 total additional employees. Comparing this total figure with the employment capacity still displays an excess of less than one percent. .....Table 1K Summary of 2022 Em loyrnent Need Vs. Ca aci ~Munici~ali 1 tY 2022_ Em 1o went P Y Target ~ ~ 2022 Additional ~~ Employment Needs" 2022 Estimated ~ Emplo3~menf Ca aci Difference Auburn 403 132 543 411 Bonney-Lake 4,420 1,390 2,472 1,082 Buckley 2,066 199 2,244 2,045 Carbonado 64 4 4 0 DuPont 7,370 4,673 7,983 3,310 Eatonville 2,400 1,112 1,147 35 Edgewood 1,431 264 1,065 801 Fife 15,271 5,005 3,974 -1,031 Fircrest 1,349 250 256 6 Gig Harbor 8,638 2,444 8,011 5,567 Lakewood 31,210 8,538 5,057 -3,481 Milton 1,774 529 454 -75 ~rting 886 1,023 983 -40 Pacific 3,335 1,908 1,866 -42 Puyallup 25,035 5,352 6,790 1,438 Roy 139 0 272 272 Ruston 392 220 683 463 South Prairie 262 163 98 -65 Steilacoom 500 0 515 515 Sumner 9,275 .3,205 12,217 9,012 Tacoma 147,092 50,945 31,610 -19,335 University Place 6,699 1,062 946 -116 Wilkeson 146 57 131 74 September 2007 338 '~ Pierce County Buildable Lands Report Section IV -Conclusion - Table 18 --- Summal: ~ of 2022 Eitt to merit Need Vs. Ca achy zozz~~ ~. Zozz Municipality, ~o2z ~ Cmployment Additional ..Employment Estimated Employment pifferencc ' Tar et Needs Cx acit Unincorp. Urban 54,448 33,108 47,437 14,329 Pierce County Urban Total 324,625 121,583 136,758 15,175 ' Employment Target accepted by PCRC on January 18, 'lQU"/. represents L' JU coverea empioymeni, minus resource/construction jobs. z Includes displaced employees associated with redevelopable lands are adjusted down to reflect "unavailable to develop" assumption. Housing Production This report focuses on local jurisdictions' ability to accommodate adopted population allocations and employment targets. Various assumptions are made regarding densities, critical areas and other characteristics of development. These types of assumptions can be more directly influenced through development regulations adopted by local jurisdictions. However, it should be recognized that despite a theoretical ability to accommodate the growth, housing construction may not be on pace to meet the future housing needs. Table 19 illustrates the housing production for the years between 2000 and 2005 and the housing production necessary to accommodate the 2022 allocated population. Collectively, there has been adequate housing built on an annual basis to indicate that the combined housing needs to accommodate the 2022 population allocation can be met. Individually, however, the trend implies nine jurisdictions must experience a significant increase in annual housing production to have sufficient housing units to accommodate their individual allocations. 'Cable 19 -Annual. Housing Production Jttrisdietidu 2000 lfausinb Units April ?Q06 ::Housing Units (OPM) Tota} Additional..: Clrban hauling units needed' ~ Average. Annul ~ Urban'Hotising. Production ('00 - '06) ~ AvcragC Total Annual~~ousing Production Needed to Accoir-z~iiodate Allocated Urban Population Auburn 70 2,250 1,789 363 112 Bonne Lake 3,404 5,411 2,216 334 139 Buckle 1,472 1,675 392 34 25 Carbonado 210 217 49 1 3 DuPont 977 2,702 965 287 60 Eatonville ~ 805 958 257 26 16 Ed ewood 3;562 3,759 1,918 33 120 Fife 2,232 2,879 1,008 108 63 Fircrest 2,573 2,774 357 34 22 September 2007 339 Pierce County Buildable Lands Section IV -Conclusion -- Table 19 -.Annual Housing; Production Jurisdiction ?000 IIOL1Sln~ Units April?006 ll0using Units (OFM) Total Addltloll~ll Urban housing u~iitsnccdcd' Ai~erage, Annual Urban 1'lOUSlne P,rU<iuction ('00 -'06) Average Total A7lnllal IIOUS1Ab Production Needed to Accrnnzuodate A1lacatcd Urban- Populatid~i ('O6 --'22)~ Gi Harbor 3,085 3,210 2,501 21 156 Lakewood 25,449 26,001 6,865 92 429 Milton. 2,173 2,519 790 58 49 Ortin 1,382 1,998. 1,215 103 76 Pacific 65 54 0 0 0 Pu allu 13,468 15,267 1,744 300 109 Ro 114 309 105 33 7 Ruston 355 359 479 .6 30 South Prairie 138 161 131 4 8 Steilacoom 2,674 2,764 437 15 27 Sumner 3,689 3,958 1,604 45 -100 Tacoma 81,102 84,129 26,671 505 1,667 University Place 12,684 13,290 1,609 101 100 Wilkeson 150 171 24 4 2 Urban P.C. 56,047 68,866 11,061 2,137 691 Total 217,880 245,681 64,246 4,636 - 4,015 Y1JYlo~.VLL FIl UD ALLLL1l1Vll({7 tJGl 1JV~/UlillNll QllVGdC1VII z Total Additional Urban housing units needed (additional + displaced)/16 years. September 2007 340